Thursday, August 28, 2008

Stock Investing - How the Stock Market Works

Stock investing isn't easy, and it can certainly be stressful. But don't think it's off-limits to average people-I've helped thousands of folks reach their financial dreams just by providing a little bit of insight into Wall Street. To help you get started on the way to financial freedom, I'd like to provide a general framework to outline how the stock market works and how to wisely invest your money.

Investing 101: Economics comes in two parts-microeconomics and macroeconomics. The "micro" view deals with the actions of businesses and consumers like you and me, while the "macro" view deals with numbers on a much larger scale-like GDP, inflation, unemployment and international trade. This might sound a bit complicated, because ultimately there is one economy. But the economic activity of everyday folks often is influenced by changes in the big picture. Similarly, the action of thousands of individual consumers can dramatically shift the broader statistics.

How the Stock Market Works

The stock market is little more than a representation of economic trends, both small and large. The market is a crucial components of the economy because it gives companies access to capital, and investors a chance to profit through ownership in that firm. Collectively, investors are very smart. That means the best companies will generally find willing buyers, driving the price up, and the worst will be left all alone, and the price will suffer. Think of it as simple "supply and demand" as it relates to your stake in a company. If a company has a good idea that is bound to make a lot of money, more people will want to get in on the action and will be willing to pay more to be a part of it. If a company fails to react to the economic trends and is doomed for failure, fewer people are willing to pay for a stake in its future.

The stock market is comprised of a) the primary market, where the initial public offering of securities originates; and b) the secondary market, where trading takes place.

Generally, the stock market affects business investment in three direct ways:

  1. The market traditionally serves as a gauge of the expectations of the business-minded community. When the market is upbeat and the volume of transactions is high, this indicates a generally favorable business climate. This climate signals to companies that's there's plenty of capital available to pursue expansion plans. On the flipside, when the market is lethargic, executives frequently recoil and put expansion plans on hold because there's not enough money out there.
  2. The second effect has to do with the relative ease of issuing new securities. When businesses are looking to finance investments, they issue new stocks and bonds. The proceeds are then put towards purchasing plants and equipment to further facilitate a business expansion. When a market is buoyant, it's easier for companies to issue new securities and raise funds.
  3. The third effect pertains to weak markets. When the market is sluggish, companies with healthy earnings will try to acquire other companies or buy up shares of their own stock instead of using those earnings to fund investment. This facilitates the overall growth of a fundamentally sound company, but has little growth impact on the overall economy.

Four Tips for Successful Stock Investing

In a nutshell, "investing" means the use of money in hope of making more money. But sometimes it's easier said than done. The best way to make money is to arm yourself with the necessary knowledge to plan your stock investing strategy.

  1. First, ask yourself which method you prefer: fundamental analysis-measuring a company's intrinsic value-or technical analysis-studying charts and patterns to analyze market activity? Personally, I'm strongly in favor of picking stocks based on the ability to increase sales, widen profit margins and report strong earnings.
  2. Objectivity and discipline are necessary when stock investing. Remove as much of the emotion out of your strategy as possible. You'd be surprised how many investors fall in love with their stocks. Be sure to exercise discipline when executing your stock investing strategy. If you're not willing to stick to it, the more you open yourself up to making mistakes.
  3. Portfolio diversification is an absolute must when stock investing. Your strategy is only as effective as the strength of your portfolio. The more stocks you own from different sectors, and the more equally you weight them, the easier it is to reduce risk and maximize your chance for financial success. My general rule of thumb is to have 60% of your portfolio in conservative stocks with little volatility, 30% in moderately aggressive stocks, and 10% in the aggressive stocks that can really jump around. This helps reduce risk, and generate more even returns.
  4. Remember: Growth is the fundamental characteristic you should be looking for when deciding where to invest. Businesses are constantly seeking new ways to maximize profits, and in order to do this they must expand. To expand, however, they need a healthy balance sheet with positive cash flow. Be sure to invest in companies with solid intrinsic value but also tremendous growth potential.

Understanding how the stock market works is crucial to developing an effective stock investing strategy. You don't need to be an expert to devise a strategy that's right for you, but sticking to a few Investing 101 tips can go a long way.

How To Win On The Stock Market

I am somebody who loves to invest money on the stock market. Some might see this as a bit of a gamble which in a way it is, there are however certain steps people can take to limit this risk which may well help them to make money.

I see the stock market as a bit of a rollercoaster in that it is always going up and down. It has many peaks and troughs which can make it hard to know when it is the right time to invest or to sell. Some people see an event such as the terrorist attacks on September the eleventh, where the stock market fell in a big way, as a good time to invest where as other people may panic and sell all of their holdings in case of another attack.

I personally prefer to buy when the market is going through a bad period as I believe it is likely to eventually pick up and should if history is anything to go by, be even higher in the future. My way of thinking is buy low, sell high.

When purchasing a single stock, such as shares in one of the top companies such as Vodafone, I always remember the price that I bought the shares at and give the stock a target price. This is the price that I will sell at, if it ever reaches that level of course. I have to say that at times I am very tempted to hold onto the shares when they reach these target levels in the hope of even higher profits. I am normally able to keep to my plan of selling high and when I have let temptation get the better of me and have held on to the shares they always seem to end up falling back. I hope that I have now learned my lesson for the future, I think I have!

If the share price after for example three months has fallen by about twenty percent, I then increase my holding by purchasing even more shares. I will then set a new target level and just repeat the process. This in a way is similar to how a unit trust works through the method of pound cost averaging, where you are able to purchase more units when the unit price is lower for your monthly premium.

What I do and have explained above is quite risky and you need to be able to hold your nerve when the stock has a bad run. You also need to have a lot of patience. I certainly would only advise people to invest money that they can actually afford to lose as one day for example I could invest in a stock which does not recover. This plan would then prove to be a disaster and would cost me a lot of money.

So far I have been quite lucky and the plan has been working well for me. I do not invest huge amounts of money and see it as more of a hobby than a way to get rich quick.

How to Increase Your Returns in the Stock Market

Rule 1: Block out the negative

One of the things I have problems with even today is getting over the fact that a stock just might not work out. If a stock went into red, then I would always feel trapped to stay in the stock until it gained some positive return from it. The problem with that method is that it might take a while before a stock comes back into positive territory and at that point you have already wasted too much time. Time is money, and if you waste it then you don't give yourself the best chance to make the most return.

For example, if stock A went down 15% in 6 months and then climbed 30% in the next 6 months, then throughout the year you really only made 15%. Although that might seem like a great return for one stock, the goal is for us to reach 40%+. It is important to maximize every opportunity.

So think twice when you keep a laggard in your portfolio. Is this the best play for you, or could your money be more efficient in another company.

Rule 2: Get rid of index funds

I have never really been a fan of index funds, and I have never actually owned one. Index funds are usually for those that don't want to take the time to actively manage their portfolio. Many times I think several people could easily beat these funds, so why waste your time with them? After management fees and under performance, you really are not going to be making any type of return that will help you get a great return.

Rule 3: Go where no man has gone before

Most of the richest people in the world got to where they were by doing something others don't often venture into, and the same idea goes for those successful in the stock market. If you just keep buying stocks that people recommend to you, then you will never really experience huge returns because these stocks will usually get burnt out quick. Once everybody wants in on the stock, it is almost a sure sign that the stock will turn negative pretty soon. So you have to look for those diamonds in the rough and stay with the smaller less known stocks.

So overall there are 3 rules that I think should be followed to improve your chances of get nice big returns in the stock market.

Block out the negative

Get rid of index funds

Go where no man has gone before

Remember these are just rules on how to get big returns there are many different ways to get the average single digit returns. In the end, you have to go against the grain of what the average investor does, and it doesn't hurt to have a bit of luck on your side.

What are some of your great returns? Are there any rules you think should be followed to help improve chances of getting returns?

How to Become a Successful Stock Market Trader

Stock market investment is a very difficult business to predict, and people who are able to act according to their instincts are frequently the successful ones.

Every person, including the successful stock trader, is human and consequently makes mistakes.

However the successful stock trader:

-Adopts one specific system for managing his investments in the stock market, and then sticks to it consistently.

-Knows when is a good time to invest in a particular stock and even more importantly when is the best time to sell.

-Takes calculated risks, and minimizes his potential loss by waiting for a while after money has been lost, rather than buying or selling in a panic reaction.

-Is aware of and admits his mistakes, and is not ashamed of them but able to use them to his advantage in future transactions.

-Is able to analyse stocks critically, and knows how to carry out some basic and technical forms of analysis of the stock market.

-Is disciplined and patient, going through the necessary processes with practiced ease, and knowing when to get out of a particular investment.

-Is in charge of his situation, practicing mental discipline and strategic thinking.

-Has a strong desire to succeed.

-Learns from his mistakes, and moves on from them; the next time he is in a similar situation he will know better, and will be able to turn the mistake into profit by making use of what he has learnt.

-Protects the original investment; this is in fact his main and most important aim. His secondary aims are to manage and increase his profits. Sometimes there is very little to choose between a good decision and a bad one, but the successful trader knows the difference, and also knows when and how to act.

-Does not listen to gossip, rumors or tips when it comes to shares and investments in the stock market, but instead trusts in and follows his own judgment. He does not make decisions based on sentimental attachments with certain types of stocks or businesses.

-Knows his own abilities, weaknesses and strengths, and works within them.

-Knows his investments in detail.

-Plays it safe whilst also taking calculated risks.

-Most importantly, acts within the limits of the law, and the rules of operating on the stock market, because he is aware that this is the only way he can be successful, and also of the dangers of illicit trading practices.

Stock Market Timeline

The history of stock market is very rich and the efficient system that you use now for trading and investing in companies has evolved over centuries. All the policies and regulations have evolved through time as and when the policy makers felt the need for them. Wall Street was laid out as early as in 1685. The investment market was born after a century in 1792 when five securities were traded. These included three government bonds and two bank stocks.

The Buttonwood Agreement was the historic pact that around twenty four brokers and merchants signed agreeing to trade securities for commission. It is said that the New York Stock Exchange began as a result of this pact. Slowly the market started gaining prominence and securities such as bank stocks, insurance stocks and government bonds had begun to trade. As the market gained prominence, the requirement of rules and regulations for the proper conduct of trading and investing was felt. The New York Stock & Exchange Board was formed at wall street. In 1853, the board required the companies which were listed on the exchange to produce complete statements of shares outstanding and capital resources.

The first stock market crash happened in 1853 when the market lost up to 45% of value. The reason was the collapse of the Ohio Life Insurance & Trust Company. In 1866, the first transatlantic cable was laid which enabled instant communication between New York and London. In 1867, the first stock ticker was invented and this brought the current prices of the companies to all the investors. In 1872, the specialist was created. The specialist is a trader who trades only in one stock because of which he sits in one location on the trading floor. In 1895, it was suggested that companies start providing annual reports of their performance to their shareholders. Then in the subsequent year, there was another development in the form of the wall street journal publishing the Dow Jones Industrial average for the first time.

The Federal Reserve System was created in 1913 to bring structure to the control credit and to structure the banking system. The market price was quoted as a percentage of the par value. This was changed to prices quoted in dollars. In 1929 the largest crash in terms of the volume of shares takes place. This marked the beginning of the great depression. The Dow Jones reached the lowest value from its 1929 peak in 1932. It was quoting 89% down at that point of time. The Securities and Exchange Commission is established to provide full disclosure to investors and to prevent fraudulent activities in connection with the sale of securities. Women enter the trading floor in 1943 ending the reign of men. In 1966, several important developments took place. The Securities Investment Protection Corporation was set up to provide protection to the clients of brokerage firms that collapse. The New York futures exchange was formed in 1979. In 1996, real time tickers were launched in CNBC and CNN thus bringing the stock prices to investors and traders instantly.

As you can see, the rich history is incomparable to the history of any other stock market in the world. NYSE is the biggest stock exchange in the world and it will continue to remain so for some time to come.

Sunday, August 24, 2008

Top Stock Market Facts For All

Companies are made up of stocks, some are traded publicly and others are owned privately. If stock in a company is public then you will be able to by them and by doing this you are becoming the owner of small percentages of the company. These are the smallest unit of ownership that exists.

Owning tock in any company is quite a responsibility. You will be able to take part in a lot of different aspects of the business such as voting for the board, representatives and other important decisions the company will make in the coming years. In some cases you may even be asked your opinion on a merger.

The benefit to you as a shareholder in the company is that you will be able to collect profits. When the company makes money so do you, it is that simple. For each stock share you have in the company you will get a certain amount of money, this can be very little to a lot, it all depends on the stock and how the company is profiting at any given time.

One of the perks to owning stock in a company is that it is easy to liquidate when you need to. There is not a lot of red tape to deal with. A quick call to your stockbroker and you can have the money in your hands relatively quickly, not always as quick as a trip to the bank but most stocks pay better than the interest on your savings account.

It is your stockbroker that will do much of the work for you, if you choose to hire one. This is the person who will sniff out potential buyers and who will broker the deal. This is also the professional who will do the actual buying for you as well. Not just anyone can make transaction in the stock exchange, your broker can do all of the things that you cannot, that is why they are so necessary for your success.

These are not the only job that a good stockbroker will undertake when it comes to you and the stock market. He or she should also be able to give you sound advice about which companies to buy into and which to avoid.

Not all stock brokers are created equal and that is why you need to be sure to choose a reputable stockbroker or brokerage company. Take a good look at their record to make sure they are legit and worth trusting with your money.

Buying stock in a company is a great way to expand your financial portfolio and choosing the right stockbroker is the first step in the process of investing in the stock market. This person can literally shape your financial future, choose this person wisely and you can have a great career in stocks. If you choose the companies to invest in well and you take your responsibilities seriously, you could come out of these deals with a lot more money than when you went in.

Stock Market Trading Strategies

v The trend of the market as indicated by the Wyckoff Wave indicates the line of least resistance. It reflects the direction in which most of the individual issues are moving. Traders who take positions that are in harmony with the line of least resistance are more likely to experience positive results than are traders who try to fight the trend. It is always better to have the market working for you than against you. There are always individual issues that make huge moves against the trend, but these are relatively rare.

The odds of finding one of these counter trend wonders are much smaller than are the odds of selecting an issue that is going to perform as well or better than the trend of the market.

Trading in harmony with the market means taking long positions when the market as measured by the Wyckoff Wave is in a defined up trend channel.

It means taking short positions when the market is in a defined down trend channel. When the defined trend is neutral or a trading range, trading in harmony with the market can mean standing aside and let the bulls and bears battle for control of the action, or consider opportunities on both sides of the market.

However, Wyckoff discourages being in positions on both sides of the market at the same time. Theoretically, trading both sides at once while the market is in a trading range is possible, but it is emotionally difficult. Whenever emotions enter the picture, the odds of making costly mistakes increases.

To avoid these errors make a commitment to never be long and short at the same time.

Just because the trend of the market and that of an individual issue are pointed in the same direction does not mean that the trader automatically has a green light to take a long position if the trends are pointed upward or a short position if the trends are pointed downward.

Remember what Wyckoff teaches in step one of the Wyckoff method. Knowing the position of the price in the trend is as important as knowing the direction of the trend. Situation where the market and an individual issue under consideration for a long position are both located near the top of their up trend channels should be avoided in favor of those where the positions are near the bottom of the trend channels. When short positions are being considered in down trends, it is best to locate those situations where both the market and the individual issue are positioned near the top of their down trend channels. If trading ranges are going to be traded, look for those instances where both the general market and the individual issue are positioned near the very top or the very bottom of their trading ranges.

An important concept in applying step two of the Wyckoff method is relative strength and/or weakness. Although most individual issues will be in the same trend as the general market and many of them will even be in the same position in their trends as the market, not all of these are the best candidates for new positions. All up trends and down trends are the result of a series of trusts in the direction of the trend separated by corrections. Some individual issues that are in harmony with the market from the stand point of the direction in which their trends are pointed will make relatively larger thrusts and experience relatively smaller corrections than the market as a whole.

These are the issues that are most likely to have the best potential to produce a profitable trade. Relative strength or weakness can be measured as soon as the first thrust in a trend has been completed. This will likely be even before the trend channel has been clearly defined. Those issues that have made larger thrusts than the market are the ones that should be watched closely as the prices make their first correction. The issues that have made the largest thrusts relative to that made by the market and that then make the smallest corrections relative to the market are most likely to perform well on the next thrust in the direction of the trend. These are the stocks that deserve the most consideration for new positions. This technique can also be used later in the development of an advance or decline when there are additional thrusts and corrections to consider. Those issues that most consistently out perform the market are most likely to produce a profitable trade.

The concept of relative strength and weakness can be helpful in locating trade candidates when the market is in a defined trading range. If the market is in a trading range, most individual issues will also be in trading ranges. However, some will be in up trends and some will be in down trends. Those that are trending up or down are relatively stronger or weaker than the market. These are the issues to consider first when looking for new positions. However, consideration must always be given to the position of the market in its trading range and the individual issue in its up or down trend. If both positions do not favor the likelihood of a rally or reaction, opening a position in that individual issue is discouraged. After the stocks that are trending up or down, attention can be directed to those that like the market are also in trading ranges. Here again, the positions of both the market and the stock are important issues to consider before opening a position.

The merits of trading in harmony with the market may seem obvious. However, most traders are exposed to a stream of market noise from brokers, friends, relatives, co-workers and the media. This bombardment of frequently conflicting information and misinformation can cause a trader to get distracted from those things that are really important. Step two of the Wyckoff method is one of those really important things. It along with the other four steps of the method are the best foundation on which to build a successful market operation.

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Investment Strategies For the Stock Market

When it comes to Investment Strategies for the Stock Market most people believe that there is only one safe strategy.

'Buy and Hold'

The reason why most people believe that this is the safest investment strategy for the stock market is because that is exactly what their financial advisors have told them. Have you ever heard the phrase

"The key to successful investing is Time In the Market NOT Timing the Market"

I believe that this is a lazy approach to investing and is really just an excuse to hide the fact that some financial advisors have no idea what the market is doing. Wouldn't successful investors use multiple investment strategies for the stock market? If the market is at a record high and there is a chance of a correction then surely there is something that you can do (other than selling your stocks) to protect some of your profits?

The reason why financial advisors don't want you to know about any other investment strategies for the stock market (other than buy and hold) is because it isn't in their interest for you to know about them. They want you to remain reliant on their advice and have you feel as if the stock market is a very scary and dangerous tool - only to be tamed by the so called experts.

What is your opinion? I certainly believe that at times the stock market can be very scary and dangerous but like any thing; the more you educate yourself the more comfortable you will feel with it.

So what are some Investment Strategies for the Stock Market other than buy and hold?

Let's have a quick look one very simply investment strategies that can be used to great effect on any stock market.

Covered Calls

This is one of the most effective, low risk investment strategies that can be used on the stock market. The basic idea to sell call options on a stock that you own. What? I hear you saying. In simple terms it means that you are renting out your shares for a monthly premium and in return you are giving somebody the option to buy your shares at a predetermined price that is higher than what you paid for them.

Let's say you own 1000 XYZ shares that are worth $15.00 each. People will pay you a monthly premium to have the option to buy these XYZ shares at a predetermined price within a predetermined time frame.

For instance someone might offer you $500 for the right to buy your shares at $16.00 within the next month. Why would they do this? Because if the shares happen rise up to $18.00 they will be able to buy 1000 XYZ shares at a $2.00 discount per share ($18-$16).

The great thing about this strategy is that both parties can win e.g. If this was to happen you would be happy too because you would get to keep the $500 premium and you would also make $1.00 from every share that you sold because you bought them at $15.00 and sold them at $16.00.

What happens if the share price was to go down?

If the share price was to go down from $15.00 to $13.00 then you would still get to keep the $500 premium which would reduce your paper loss from $2.00 per share to $1.50 per share.

Writing covered calls (or renting out your shares) is one of the most commonly used investment strategies by the rich. It is a great low risk low risk investment strategy for the stock market that everybody deserves to know about.

So there you have it a simple investment strategy for the stock market that can help increase your cash flow and also gives you downside protection. What more could you ask for in a stock market investment strategy? So next time you see your financial advisor ask them about covered calls and see what response you get. My bet is they probably won't even know what you're talking about because their university course didn't teach that subject.

Free Stock Market Tickers

Firstly, a tick is any movement, either upwards or downwards, however small it may be, in the price of scrip, therefore, a Free Stock Market Ticker will automatically track each transaction which occurs on the floors of a bourse, including volumes traded for particular scrip, onto a narrow strip of paper or tape.

A Stock Market Ticker is a running report of the prices and trading volume of securities which are traded on the various stock exchanges. A Stock Market Ticker is an up and down movement in the sale price of a particular security. Since the days of the paper ticker tape dating all the way back to the year 1867, Stock Market Tickers have developed over a period of time and has now become fully electronic with most of them being presented in real time or probably with only a small delay which may not exceed twenty minutes.

NASDAQ.com features several Stock Market Tickers tools which will assist investors to keep a watch on their important stocks.

The NASDAQ Market Ticker-this Free Stock Market Ticker permits you to monitor your investments right at your table at home .This NASDAQ Free Stock Market Ticker includes quotes, net change, percent change for NASDAQ, Amex, NYSE and OTCBB stocks; updates to important and fundamental stock market indices, most actively traded lists for NASDAQ, NYSE and Amex -all based on your personal preferences and the top ten headlines. These Free Stock Market Ticker tools permit intelligent investors to stay one step ahead of other investors. The NASDAQ Free Stock Market Ticker hopes that investors will enjoy using them and welcome suggestions, views, responses so that they can accordingly make changes in this Free Stock Market Ticker in the interest of all investors.

NADAQ .com has a short comment form on its website with the specific aim of improving the content of this Free Stock Market Ticker.

Let us try to understand what is the Ticker Tape-we have all seen them on business programs or financial news networks -a series of numbers, figures, statistics scrolling at the bottom of the T.V screen which may appear baffling to a new investor.

Some people may choose to block out the Ticket tape while others may decide not to ignore but to study it carefully and use that knowledge to better the quality of the investments they make. This Free Stock Market Ticker can prove to be an economical way of furthering the return of ones investments; all these figures may appear to be baffling to an inexperienced investor-the key is to understand this Free Stock Market Ticker, then one can use it to ones advantage.

Random Stock Market Behavio

Gambling your Way to the Market
If you have the money and would like investing it in the stock market, you would do well by studying first the market. It is important for you to know the stock market behavior and the factors that would influence it. There are some who consider investing in the stock market as some sort of a gamble. That the stock market behavior is just too unpredictable and winning or losing in the stock market will depend on pure luck.

People who considers investing in the stock market as a gamble believes that the market cannot be predicted as to the course it would take at any given time. They think of the market as some sort of a rudderless boat floating by its lonesome self without any set of direction to take. You will be lucky if the tide sets the rudderless boat or stock market behavior in your direction but if not, you lose.

Indeed, because of their belief that investing in the stock market is some sort of a game of chance, there are stock market investors, who would even go to the extent of consulting their horoscope before doing their trade. Many Chinese stock market investors even have Feng Shui experts guiding them when to invest or trade in the market.

The Feng Shui Experience
A clear case of this situation wherein investors of a stock market believes that the stock market behavior is simply erratic, random and governed by luck and even by the positioning of stars and other unseen forces such as Feng Shui was demonstrated in Hong Kong when Financial Secretary Henry Tang presented Hong Kong's Budget for 2004/2005.

He made his presentation in a televised coverage. The Finance Secretary was dressed in a dark suit, white shirt and with a corresponding tie maroon red in color. While he was making his TV budget presentation, the TV screen bottom crawler which indicated real time Hang Seng Index performance, started dropping until it dropped to a low of 180.41 points.

Many Chinese stock market investors who have seen the precarious drop of the Hang Seng Index, which is Hong Kong stock market Index, blamed the entire stock market behavior to the colors of the Finance Secretary outfit during the time he made his TV budget presentation.

They pointed out that the colors of water represented by dark blue or black and metal which has white for its color and fire for red and maroon colors are simply against Feng Shui. This is what triggered the very bad behavior of the stock market when the Finance Secretary went on TV, they said.

Economist on the other hand would simply dismiss this behavior of the market as brought about by the color of the Finance Secretary's outfit due to bad Feng Shui. They reasoned that it was not Feng Shui that made the market behave badly. Rather, it was the belief of the investors in Feng Shui that made the market went down. Thus, in effect, it was human attitude which was fear that caused the market to behave badly.

To point out, they noted that while the Finance Secretary was on TV, many investors watching the proceedings were calling their brokers to sell shares rather than buy because they believe that the colors of the Secretary's outfit carries ominous and dire consequences to the economy because it contradicts Feng Shui, while all the while discussing the country's budget for the year. And because of instant communication through mobile phones, there was suddenly a deluge to sell that even while the secretary was still on TV, the Chinese belief in Feng Shui became evident with the heavy downward spiral of the stock market, all because of his color choice of tie, shirt and suit.

Market Behavior and Public Perception
This clearly shows that the market behavior is determined by the public's perception that will have anything to do with the economy. As many successful stock market traders would say, trading is not determined by gut feel but by how any news or information will affect your gut. In effect, they are saying that a market behavior will depend on the present environment and on the public's perception of the near future.

Seasoned traders debunk the idea that stock market behaves at random and there is really no basis for predicting its movements by using whatever forms of analysis. They reasoned out that just like its human conceivers, the market behavior will depend on the fears and greed of its maker in relation to material wealth and resources as affected by natural factors. History repeats itself, so does the stock market charts that continuously show similar patterns since the late 60s.

For this matter, when you do the market, study your options carefully and always consider the stock market behavior to the latest news that you have just heard from the breaking news of Fox News and CNN.

Sunday, August 10, 2008

Minimum Risk Stock Market Investing

More Americans than ever before are investing in the stock market. It's estimated that over half of American households own stock, which is in stark contrast to even a few decades ago, when the stocks were primarily traded by institutional investors and the wealthy. In the 1990s alone, the number of investors increased by over 50 percent.

Why the shift? According to a Congressional report, a number of factors caused more people to become investors, including the increasing popularity of mutual funds and the advent of the IRA and 401(k) retirement plans. Essentially, mutual funds present individuals with minimum risk stock market investing, while retirement plans enable households to accumulate wealth by placing their money in financial instruments that have a greater rate of return than traditional savings accounts. That same Congressional report asserts that, "The first lesson to be taken from the broadening of stock ownership is that Americans want access, control, and choice over their retirement and other saving options."

Access, control, and choice are all wonderful, but many individual investors still don't understand how to get a maximum return for a minimum risk or no risk at all. After all, reckless investment does not a fortune make.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) compares investment risk and return by noting that savings accounts, insured money market accounts, and certificates of deposit are federally insured and, therefore, safe. "But there's a tradeoff for security and ready availability," they say. "Your money earns a low interest rate compared with investments." The SEC also notes, "Over the past 60 years, the investment that has provided the highest average rate of return has been stocks," but stresses diversification. According to the SEC, "If you buy a mixture of different types of stocks, bonds, or mutual funds, your savings will not be wiped out if one of your investments fails." All well and good, but the fundamental question remains: how does the average individual who wants to invest in the stock market engage in profitable trading? The answer lies in techniques often used by institutional investors but that is almost unknown and certainly underutilized by private investors.

The two techniques can be characterized as a minimum-risk strategy that can be used in any market with any broker, and a no-risk strategy that is limited to certain stocks and brokers. When you use these techniques, which are outlined in reports available online, some of your profits will be modest, while others will be significant.

It's important to note that the reports that outline these techniques aren't those that promise "get rich quick" schemes, or that tout trading in the Forex (foreign currency exchange) or options markets. These markets are volatile, risky, and not for the inexperienced or the faint of heart. Rather, these strategies employ techniques that can generate a 50 percent annual return or more, but that center around minimum risk stock market investing. The bottom line is that most people seek a maximum return on their investments with a minimum risk or no risk at all. By utilizing techniques employed by institutional investors, individuals can achieve their financial goals.

Stock Market Trading Strategies - Step Two of the Wyckoff Method

Step two of the Wyckoff method is very simple, but yet so very important in achieving consistent success in the market.

Wyckoff teaches us to always trade stocks that are in harmony with the market. The trend of the market as indicated by the Wyckoff Wave indicates the line of least resistance. It reflects the direction in which most of the individual issues are moving. Traders who take positions that are in harmony with the line of least resistance are more likely to experience positive results than are traders who try to fight the trend. It is always better to have the market working for you than against you. There are always individual issues that make huge moves against the trend, but these are relatively rare.

The odds of finding one of these counter trend wonders are much smaller than are the odds of selecting an issue that is going to perform as well or better than the trend of the market.

Trading in harmony with the market means taking long positions when the market as measured by the Wyckoff Wave is in a defined up trend channel.

It means taking short positions when the market is in a defined down trend channel. When the defined trend is neutral or a trading range, trading in harmony with the market can mean standing aside and let the bulls and bears battle for control of the action, or consider opportunities on both sides of the market.

However, Wyckoff discourages being in positions on both sides of the market at the same time. Theoretically, trading both sides at once while the market is in a trading range is possible, but it is emotionally difficult. Whenever emotions enter the picture, the odds of making costly mistakes increases.

To avoid these errors make a commitment to never be long and short at the same time.

Just because the trend of the market and that of an individual issue are pointed in the same direction does not mean that the trader automatically has a green light to take a long position if the trends are pointed upward or a short position if the trends are pointed downward.

Remember what Wyckoff teaches in step one of the Wyckoff method. Knowing the position of the price in the trend is as important as knowing the direction of the trend. Situation where the market and an individual issue under consideration for a long position are both located near the top of their up trend channels should be avoided in favor of those where the positions are near the bottom of the trend channels. When short positions are being considered in down trends, it is best to locate those situations where both the market and the individual issue are positioned near the top of their down trend channels. If trading ranges are going to be traded, look for those instances where both the general market and the individual issue are positioned near the very top or the very bottom of their trading ranges.

An important concept in applying step two of the Wyckoff method is relative strength and/or weakness. Although most individual issues will be in the same trend as the general market and many of them will even be in the same position in their trends as the market, not all of these are the best candidates for new positions. All up trends and down trends are the result of a series of trusts in the direction of the trend separated by corrections. Some individual issues that are in harmony with the market from the stand point of the direction in which their trends are pointed will make relatively larger thrusts and experience relatively smaller corrections than the market as a whole.

These are the issues that are most likely to have the best potential to produce a profitable trade. Relative strength or weakness can be measured as soon as the first thrust in a trend has been completed. This will likely be even before the trend channel has been clearly defined. Those issues that have made larger thrusts than the market are the ones that should be watched closely as the prices make their first correction. The issues that have made the largest thrusts relative to that made by the market and that then make the smallest corrections relative to the market are most likely to perform well on the next thrust in the direction of the trend. These are the stocks that deserve the most consideration for new positions. This technique can also be used later in the development of an advance or decline when there are additional thrusts and corrections to consider. Those issues that most consistently out perform the market are most likely to produce a profitable trade.

The concept of relative strength and weakness can be helpful in locating trade candidates when the market is in a defined trading range. If the market is in a trading range, most individual issues will also be in trading ranges. However, some will be in up trends and some will be in down trends. Those that are trending up or down are relatively stronger or weaker than the market. These are the issues to consider first when looking for new positions. However, consideration must always be given to the position of the market in its trading range and the individual issue in its up or down trend. If both positions do not favor the likelihood of a rally or reaction, opening a position in that individual issue is discouraged. After the stocks that are trending up or down, attention can be directed to those that like the market are also in trading ranges. Here again, the positions of both the market and the stock are important issues to consider before opening a position.

The merits of trading in harmony with the market may seem obvious. However, most traders are exposed to a stream of market noise from brokers, friends, relatives, co-workers and the media. This bombardment of frequently conflicting information and misinformation can cause a trader to get distracted from those things that are really important. Step two of the Wyckoff method is one of those really important things. It along with the other four steps of the method are the best foundation on which to build a successful market operation.

Stock Market Terminology - Stock Options Glossary

Stock Market terminology can be daunting especially for the beginner, and Stock Options can be even harder to understand. I have put together a glossary of common terms relating to options trading that may help the novice trader.

Rather than list them in traditional alphabetical order, I have listed each in order of importance for a basic understanding of stock options trading.

Some very basic terms you may have heard before:

Bearish a view someone has where they are expecting the stock market, or a stock price to fall.

Bullish a view someone has where they are expecting the stock market, or a stock price to rise.

Neutral is a view someone has where they are neither bearish or bullish. There are options trading strategies suited to this, requiring little or no movement.

Stock Options give the holder the right to buy or sell particular shares at a fixed pre-determined price within a fixed period of time. Stock options can be traded in the same way that the underlying stock can be bought and sold.

Underlying Security is the stock that an option taker has the right to buy or sell if they choose to exercise.

Some terms that relate to the mechanics of stock options:

Call Options give the holder the right to buy the underlying stock at a fixed pre-determined price within a certain, fixed period of time.

Put Options give the holder the right to sell the underlying stock at a fixed pre-determined price within a certain, fixed period of time.

Strike price This is the fixed, pre determined price at which you can buy or sell the shares. This cannot be changed throughout the life of the option contract.

Expiry This is the date at which the option contract expires. This cannot be changed throughout the life of the option, and there after the contract is worthless.

Exercise The process of fulfilling the put option contract and buying or selling the shares. This can be done any time up to and including the option expiry date.

Premium The amount you pay for the option contract. Each stock has set strike prices for trading. Depending on where the strike price is in relation to the current share price, influences the amount you pay. Premium is the sum of both the options intrinsic value and time value.

Contract Size The amount of underlying stock covered by an option contract. In the U.S this is 100 shares, and Australia it is 1,000 shares. This can vary at times. A broker is able to confirm this for you.

Writer is a trader or investor who sells an option.

Taker is a trader or investor who buys an option contract.

Some terms that relate to the pricing and values of stock options:

At the Money when an options strike price is the same as the current stock price, it is said to be at the money.

In the Money A call option is in-the-money when the underlying stock price is higher than the strike price of the call, and a put option is in-the-money when the stock price is below the strike price. The option would have intrinsic value.

Out of the Money A call option is out-of-the-money when the stock price is below the strike price, and a put option is out-of-the-money when the stock price is higher than the strike price. The option would have no intrinsic value.

Intrinsic Value is the difference between the current stock price and the strike price. This is the amount by which an option is in the money, and indicates the value of an option if it were to expire right now.

Time Value is the difference between an options current value and the intrinsic value.

Time Decay Options are made up of time value and intrinsic value. As you get closer to the expiry date, the option value diminishes. This is called time decay. When you buy an option, you are buying time.

Fair Value is used to describe the value of an option as calculated by a mathematical model. Also used to indicate intrinsic value.

Theoretical Value The price of an option as calculated by a mathematical model.

Overvalued describes a stock trading at a higher price than it logically should.

Undervalued describes a stock that is trading at a lower price than it logically should.

Some terms you will hear when dealing with a stock broker:

Full Service Broker is a broker you deal directly with to execute all transactions and orders. They come with higher fees, but highly recommended when you begin trading.

Online Broker many broking firms offer an online trading platform that allows you to control your orders with the click of a mouse. The fees are usually a fraction of the full service brokers.

Discount Broker is a brokerage firm that offers low commission rates.

Ask Price is the price at which an option seller (writer) is willing to sell. We buy option contracts and stocks on their ask price.

Bid Price is the price at which an option buyer (taker) is willing to buy.

Bid/Ask Spread is the difference in price between the bid and ask price of an option contract. Option contracts that are highly traded (liquid) tend to have a tighter Bid/Ask Spread and option contracts that are thinly traded (less liquid) have a wider Bid/Ask Spread.

Buy to Open is an order in option trading to open a position through buying that option contract. You are said to be long that option.

Sell To Close is an order close an open position through selling that option contract. This really means you are selling an option contract that you own.

Sell To Open is an order to open a position by selling (writing) an option contract to a buyer. You are said to have short sold that option.

Buy To Close is an order to close your position. It simply means you are buying back an option contract that you have previously sold short.

Closing Order is an order placed to close an open position, whether it be a sell to close or a buy to close order.

Market Order is an order to buy or sell options at the current market price.

Limit Order an order to buy or sell options at a certain, or limited price.

Day Order an order that expires at the end of the trading day if it is not filled.

Good Until Canceled is an order that remains effective until it is cancelled or filled.

Leg in option trading strategies that involve many kinds of options, each type is known as a leg.

Long to be long is to own something.

Short to be short means to sell (or write) an options contract to a buyer. This means you have the obligation to fulfill the exercise of the option should the buyer decides to do so.

Naked Option or Uncovered Option is where the investor who wrote, or sold the option does not own the underlying security.

Position used to describe the number and strategy currently open. i.e if you had bought 12 Nov $ 20 call option contracts you would be long 12 XYZ Nov $ 20 calls.

Early Exercise is the exercise of an option contract before its expiry date.

Day trading is the process of making multiple trades that are opened and closed all within the same trading day.

Short Term Options Trading to buy and onsell stock options for profit within a period of time no more than 4 weeks in total.

Some things that may affect our decisions when to enter or exit a position:

Technical Analysis is the study of price movements on a companies stock chart in order to form an opinion of future possible price movements.

Fundamental Analysis is the study of a companies financial details to form an opinion as to the future share price movements.

Trend the direction of a stock or index price movement.

Support is a term in technical analysis indicating a price level, or floor, lower than the current price of the stock, where demand is thought to exist. This indicates that the stock may stop declining when it reaches this level.

Resistance is a term used in technical analysis to recognise a price level, or ceiling, that is higher than the current stock price and where the stock has previously traded and failed to break through.

Liquidity is the ease at which a purchase or sale can be made. Highly traded stocks have better liquidity.

Reward / Risk Ratio is a measure of how risky a position would be. Divide the maximum profit potential against the maximum loss potential, and a ratio of above 1 means that the potential reward is higher than the potential loss.

Return on Investment is the percentage of profit that you may or may not make on an investment.

Open Interest is the total number of outstanding open contracts in a particular option series. Opening transactions increase the open interest, while a closing transaction reduces it.

Volatile a stock market or stock price that moves up or down unexpectedly or drastically is known as volatile.

Volatility is a measure of the amount by which an underlying stock is expected to vary or fluctuate in a given period of time.

Volume refers to the number of transactions that took place in a trading day. This indicates the number of buyers and sellers in the market.

Stop Loss is a pre-determined price at which you have decided to exit a position once it is hit.

Stop Order is a traditional stop loss where your broker will close a position when a predetermined price is hit.

And afterwards

Realise once you have closed an open position you will realise a profit or loss.

Powerful tools to help increase your profits, but take caution:

Leverage is the power to achieve greater profit potential with a smaller amount of money. Options offer high leverage. Beware leverage can be powerful, but your potential losses could also be greater.

Margin Loan is to buy a stock through borrowing funds from a brokerage house. The stock itself is used as security, and each stock has a maximum loan ratio.

Margin Call is when the lender requests additional funds as security from the borrower in the event that the stock price has fallen below a certain amount.

And a few strays:

American Style Option is an option contract that may be exercised at any time up until and including the expiry date. Most exchange-traded options are American-style.

European Style Option is an option that may only be exercised at expiry and not before.

Derivatives are financial instrument whose value is derived in part from the value and characteristics of another financial instrument. Stock Options are derivatives of the stock they correlate to.

Index is a compilation of the prices of several common entities into a single number, such as the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones.

Index Option is an option whose underlying security is an index. Generally index options are cash-based.

Market Maker is a member of the exchange whose purpose is to aid in the making of a market, by making bids and offers when there are no public buy or sell orders.

Greeks are a set of mathematical criteria used to calculate stock option prices.

Hedge to protect against potential losses.

Sensex - Stock Market Simulation

NASDAQ, Dow Jones, BSE & NSE; Do they ring any bell? They surely must have. Not every one knows what the color of money is, but what people do know is they want to feel more money and see more money.

Another well known fact is that the ever increasing number of the average human being would never want to jeopardize his money, which for him, is the sole means of existence. In the end, it is the human craving for more that makes him succumb to his urge and makes him take a plunge.

The only thing that makes the average investor lose out, is his inexperience. The Raging Bull lures many new people into its arena, but little do they realize what's in store for them. The market trends are tough to gauge. No one can ever be sure how high or low will stocks leap! Everything on earth has a risk involved, so does this market. We can't live with it but we can work around it.

Imagine a scenario where you as an amateur investor decide to take a dip. Based on a few tips from a few places, you make your pick. The possibility is that you might hit the nail, or may be you might get nailed. Every player who is a benchmark, be it a game, trade, business (depends on whatever you cal it) has had some level of practice and has learnt things the hard way. People have lost a lot of hope, money and many other things trying to figure out the market. They had to do it the hard way because they didn't have a place to hone their skills. A place where they could learn tricks of the trade, where they could make an investment without the fear of losing anything and at the same time, learn a lot more than the others.

But the question still remains! Would there be such a place. Is it one of those wonderland parties that people always think about and never find? Well!! Not this time. This time round all you investors are in for a good time. It fills me with pride to present to you the game of your lifetime. The SenSex Simulation!! This game is an assortment of all that I have gathered over the years.

The Game is a complete replication of the stock markets with live feeds for the values of stocks. Registered members get to play around with money in their account, using which they can purchase and sell off stocks. The game would also give you your daily stats. These would include your portfolio, the value of your stocks, and whether you have gained or lost out, relative to the market. The SenSex Simulation provides you with a platform to stand out of the ring and get a look and feel of the rumble.

“By the time you know the rules, you're too old to play the game!” It's never too late to start learning. Life is a vicious circle. Someone, who does not stop learning, never stops growing.

It's Time to tame the BULL!!

Sense And Sensex

Sensex is the name coined for the Bombay stock exchange sensitive index. Sensitive index abbreviated as Sensex, is the yardstick index for stock markets in India. The sensex is designed scientifically based on a particular universally accepted methodology. It was first put together in the year 1986 and with 30 ingredient stocks. These 30 stocks symbolized gigantic and rich organisations. 1978-1979 was taken as the base year and the base value was taken as 100. The same method continues till date. It is in face, very popular globally.

Whenever we express the state of the market, we look for the sensex reading. It is the most comprehensive indicator of the market. The Sensex echoes the price movements of various stocks and also indicates market soundness. Sensex rises and falls in a market. In case the sensex rises the investors or traders in the market can look forward to booking profits. While a sensex on the downside may lead to a loss for investors. Therefore if the corporations listed on the stock market are financially and managerially sound.

Sensex- Ingredient companies.

The sensex in India is made up of 30 companies which have a direct bearing on the economy. These 30 companies are selected by a group of academicians, fund managers, financial journalists and many other stock market participants. They form the index committee.

Parameters for selection of the 30 companies.
-The stock of a company must be traded all through out the financial year to be amongst the 30.
-The particular stock must be amongst 10 top companies whose stocks have been traded every day in the financial year on the BSE.
-On the Bombay stock exchange listings the particular stock must have its listing since a year.
- The company must have a good and sound record in the eyes of the committee.

SENSEX calculation strategy and method.

"Free-float Market Capitalization" method is used to calculate the sensitive index. According to this method, the sensex valuation mirrors the free float market value of the 30 stock ingredients relative to the (1978-79) base year. When we multiply the number of shares the company has issued by the price value of the stock of the same company we arrive at the Market Capitalization of the particular company. Later on we multiply it further with free float factor to come up with free-float market capitalization. The Free float market capitalization of the 30 key corporations is further divided by the Index Divisor, a number. The index number is the sole link to the first and base price of the sensitive index.

The sensex journey

The sensex has been on the increase ever since early history. From 1000 points on July 25thg, 1990 to historic 10000 mark on February 7 th, 2006 after which it rose to 14000+ on December 5th 2006.However it has been fluctuating between 13000 to 14000 since then. But there have been several downfalls due to high volatility. In such cases the government adapts policies that are friendly to investors and curbs down panic.

Saturday, August 2, 2008

Learning How to Make the Best Stock Pick

When it comes to the theory, online stock trading and making the best stock pick is easy to learn. Even beginners with no background in finance can do it. Learning how to trade online is easier nowadays, because of the many sites that offer trading services and applications that enable beginners like you to know how to trade stocks. Online stock firms are your best bets for learn the tools for making the best stock pick on the lot.

Online Brokerage Firm - Start by surfing for an online brokerage firm that offers start-up accounts that are easy to use and understand. There are many sites that offer turnkey applications and solutions for beginners like you to learn quickly about making the best stock pick. So choose one that you're most comfortable with when you sign up. Many sites will also show the steps and ways for you to manage your stock and keep track of your stock investments. That way, not only are you learning something new, you'll be able to guarantee your investments yourself, and make the bst stock pick you want.

These sites also offer online stock services to aid stock trading neophytes who want to make the best stock pick. Many online brokerage sites offer real-time stock quotes so you can stay informed of the current trends and shifts in the stock market. Other financial and market online news sites may also offer information about the stock market, and specifics stocks and options you may be looking to buy.

Getting Information - To be on the safe side, try searching for sites that offer the best ways for you to get firsthand information from the market. When making stock decisions and determining the best stock pick, key information about the trading is your edge to buying or selling stock. Asides from online stock trading sites, there are also sites that keep track of the various stock markets all over the world and provide information about the best stock pick, new stocks, and other developments, to professional stock traders, brokerage firms and non-professionals like yourself.

Stock pick developments, stock quote data, are just some of the information these sites can provide you with. These information may be delivered in delayed or real-time or real-time formats. Getting real-time stock information is a requirement if you're interested in making the best stock pick. On the other hand, delayed stock quotes (that can be "delayed" from ten minutes to twenty-four hours) like after hours stock quote reports are often used for stock analysis and market projections.

These reports also include information on stock performance, as well as trading speculations and other news that may influence the value of your stock during the next trading day, week, or even month. You can also use these information in developing your own stock trading strategy, while earning the experience to make the best stock pick.

Why It's Different - However, trading stocks online is not as instantaneous as it is on the floor. The lag time from the moment you make the best stock pick of your choice and elicit a buy offer for it, till that offered is closed, twelve or even twenty-four hours, may have elapsed. Thus, if the stock you're interested moves rapidly, your best stock pick could be the worst on the floor. This is because, the Internet cannot duplicate the market hours.

Be sure to keep a pulse on what's happening to your stock trading and investments so you can make the necessary adjustments. Keeping updated with the latest stock information is the best lesson to learn about online stock trading and making the best stock pick.

10 Tips for New Penny Stock Investors

Many people who have never played the stock market game before start with penny stocks. Heck, even if you've been around investing for decades, penny stocks are still your ticket to triple, quadruple or even quintuple-digit gains. You just can't see those if you bet on the Dow.

The problem is penny stocks are a bit more difficult to research than their large blue chip cousins. To make this a bit simpler for first-time investors, here are 10 things to keep in mind when looking for solid penny stock plays:

1. Think Outside the Box

When it comes to penny stocks, some of the wackiest ideas have translated into serious gains for investors who were willing to think outside the box…

Back in the day, who would've thought that computers were the "wave of the future"? Early investors in companies like Microsoft and Yahoo, that's who! They made a bundle by thinking outside the box and betting on business models and technologies that were out of the ordinary.

There are new technologies and business models out there in the penny stock world today. Are you willing to think outside the box on your next penny investment?

2. Know What You Own

In the world of Wall Street, whether you're investing in penny stocks or blue chips, one of the biggest rules is to "know what you own." What does that mean?

You should know the company you're investing in inside and out. Know its business. Know how it makes money. Know its management.

But as important as this rule is for any investor, it's doubly important for investors in penny stocks! That's because with penny stocks, share prices can change quickly if you don't keep a handle on them.

So know what you own and your investments won't end up owning you.

3. Don't Get in Over Your Head

When you see a hot penny stock that's ready to take off, it can be hard to keep from cashing out your 401(k) to buy as many shares as you can…getting in over your head with penny stocks is an almost sure way to get burned.

Even though penny stocks can make you some serious money, they're volatile - and that means you shouldn't put more than 10% of your portfolio on the line.

What's the smart penny investor to do? Set up an account for just penny stocks and load it only with money you're prepared to lose.

4. Don't Be Afraid to Ask…

One of the beauties of penny stocks is the fact that they're smaller companies that are out there for smaller investors.

As an individual investor, a big multinational might not give you the time of day. That's usually not the case with penny stocks. In fact, it's not unheard-of for individual investors to pick up the phone and chat with a company's CEO or CFO on the spot.

If you've got a burning question about a penny stock prospect, e-mailing or calling the company's investment relations firm or corporate offices might be one of the most telling ways to figure out if that stock's for you.

5. Be a Skeptic

Remember when we said to think outside the box? Well, do that, but don't forget to be a skeptic…

Just because a company has an interesting new idea doesn't necessarily mean it's a good penny stock prospect for your portfolio. The key is…Do you think that it can monetize its idea?

If that answer isn't immediately clear, it's time to dig a little deeper into that company's prospects. Thinking outside the box is a great way to get innovative companies on your radar, but being a skeptic is the only way to make sure that translates into gains for your portfolio.

6. Think, Then Buy

When you're ready to buy shares of a penny stock, make sure you take a second to think about what you're doing. All too many first-time penny investors take the jump on just a few shares of a penny stock without realizing how much the size of their investment will affect their returns.

Think about it this way…You're an investor who sees an attractive stock for $1 per share. You don't have a large portfolio yet, and you don't want to take too much of a risk, so you buy just 50 shares for $50.

Turns out you picked a winner that made 40% in just a week - $20 of pure profit. You sell and rejoice in your penny stock success. But wait…is that celebration justified?

You're forgetting about those $10 execution fees you paid to buy and sell that stock. That's $20 altogether. Looks like you only broke even, despite the fact that you had a stellar stock.

When you're buying penny stocks, make sure you're buying a large enough quantity that account costs (like execution fees) don't eat up your profits. You can find out your minimum returns to break even with this:

Execution Fees/Stock Acquisition Price x 100 = Break-even Gain (Percent) Needed

7. Don't Get Greedy

Lots of penny stock investors see 200%, 500%, even 1,000% gains on a stock but still end up losing money in the end. It's not because they didn't plan their buys properly…it's because they got greedy!

It doesn't matter how much money a stock makes if you're not ready to press the button and realize those gains. That's why you need to set solid exit points for any penny stock you buy.

It's human nature to want to hold onto an investment as you see it climb with no end in sight, but doing that is a great way to miss out if that trend turns around. When you analyze an investment, think about a logical exit price and sell for that. Picking solid exit points will become easier as you develop your investing chops.

8. Don't Get Too Nervous

The flip side of getting greedy is getting nervous with stocks that are seeing major gains in short periods of time. Relax. As a penny stock investor, you've got to be ice-cold when you see one of your picks take off.

Again, it comes down to picking good exit points for your investments. If you're sure that your stock is bound to start losing ground before you hit that target price, maybe it's time to re-evaluate what that price should be.

Remember, you can reanalyze your targets anytime, but you should never make trades on emotion alone.

9. Be Realistic

While investors might hope for tripe-digit gains on every pick they make, even the most seasoned pros of the investing world make bad picks from time to time. That's why having realistic expectations is so critical.

As with picking the right target prices, knowing what kind of gains to expect comes with experience as a penny investor. It's tricky to know when you should expect 20% from a stock and when you should expect 200%.

But setting those realistic expectations now, from the get-go, will get you into a habit that will help you structure your portfolio in a way that will get you the most bang for your investment buck.

10. Be Ready for the Next One

It's easy to sit back and relax after you've just made a trade - especially if you banked a nice gain. But not so fast!

As much as you might want to bask in your investing success, fight that urge.

The secret to the penny stock game is to always be on the move. Always be on the lookout for that next penny powerhouse - the next one might just be your best yet.

Cheers,

Stock Market Astrology

We have seen that the primary trend is always interrupted by secondary trends and a bust can happen in a primary booming market. Most deceptive is the secondary reaction ! Investors shiver when such a secondary reaction happens. Many panic and sell off their entire holdings. It is difficult to identify this secondary trend because one does not know whether it is the beginning of a primary bear market or a secondary reaction. Intuition alone can identify secondary trends. The foremost amongst the intuitive sciences, Astrology, here comes to our rescue.

The investor population in India did panic when the Sensex slid from 20400 to 18000. Normally a secondary reaction lasts from 3 weeks to 3 months. The market recovered only after 3 weeks. Many panicked and thought that this signalled a bear phase. It was disproved only after 3 weeks when the market surpassed 20000 !

We have declared that Intuition alone can determine trends. Amongst the Scientia Intuitiva, the foremost science Astrology can definitely determine primary, secondary and tertiary trends. That Jupiter's transit of the second can fuel an economic boom was known to the sages. " Nana Dukham Vitha Samriddhi " - thus runs an aphorism, meaning that Jupiter's transit of the second can trigger a stock market boom, if the stock market can indeed be taken as a barometer of the economy !

We will define secondary reactions which are a bull decline in a Bull Phase and a bear rally in a Bear Phase.

Secondary Reactions

Nelson remarks that " A secondary reaction is considered to be an important decline in a bull market or advance in a bear market usually lasting from 3 weeks to 3 months during which intervals the price movement generally retraces from 33 percent to 66 percent of the primary Price change since the termination of the last preceding secondary reaction. The reactions are frequently erroneously assumed to represent a change of primary trend, because obviously the first stage of the bull market must always coincide with a movement which might have proved to have been nearly a secondary reaction in a bear market, the contrary being proved after the peak has been attained in a bull market. " ( The ABC of Stock Speculation ).

While theoretically it is easy to talk about primary trends and secondary reactions, practically it is difficult for an invester who has invested all his savings in an unpredictable market. The investor's normal reaction to a decline is to panic. Suppose you buy Reliance for 2800. After 2 days Reliance becomes 2780 ! What will you do ? You panic thinking that a bear phase has started and will sell the scrip at a loss. Then later, say after 3 weeks Reliance starts its climb and becomes 3000 ! So the investor needs guidance from technical and fundamental experts. But can Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis guide him ? If FA and TA could guide millions, we wont have so many losers ! This indicates the scope for another analyst - The Stock Market Astrology expert - who alone can determine trends based on the intuitive sciences !

Now a secondary reaction is taking place and the Sensex had slid down to 4700 levels. 4930 meant an overbought situtation and a correction had to occur. You can either hold on to your portfolio ( as this is merely a secondary reaction in a primary upward market ) or sell off and enter when the Sensex is 300/400 points down. There is no need to panic as this reaction is secondary and not primary.

Even though we are confronted with a Bull Market now, we will deal with a Bear Market which will come after some time as the Market is cyclical.

The Primary Bear Market

According to Nelson " A primary bear market is a long downward movement interrupted by important rallies. It is caused by various economic ills and does not terminate until the stock prices have thoroughly discounted the worst that is apt to occur. " ( The ABC of Stock Speculation ).

When we take a graph and when we find falling resistance ( high ) and support ( low ) levels, we can deduce the primary trend as a Bear Phase. When we see secondary rallies known as bear rallies, we can identify the secondary trend as rallies in the primary bear market .Tertiary trends are unimportant.

Nelson categorically states that " a primary downward market is characterised by a) extinguishment of all hopes upon which the stocks were purchased at inflated prices b) selling due to decreased business and earnings c) distress selling of sound securities, ragardless of their value, by those who must find a cash market for at least a portion of their assets."

When the Sensex slid from 6151 in 2001 to 2900 at the beginning of 2003, it signalled a Bear Phase. There were many rallies but they were all secondary rallies in a primary falling market. Stock markets are cyclical and he who knows about the cyclical nature of the stock market grieves no more !

Tertiary Trends - Daily Fluctuations

Nelson averrs that " the third and usually unimportant, movement is the daily fluctuation. Nevertheless, the day to day pattern must be studied because they nearly always develop into a pattern easily recognised and having a forecasting value." ( The ABC of Stock Speculation )

Relation of Volume to Price Movements

Says Nelson " the market, which is in an overbought state, becomes dull on rallies and develops activity ( read as volume ) on declines. Conversely, when the market is in an oversold condition, the tendency is to become dull on declines and active on rallies. Bull markets terminate in a period of excessive activity and begin with comparitively light transactions. " ( The ABC of Stock Speculation )

Manipulation

"Manipulation is possible in the daily movements and secondary reactions are subject to such an influence to a more limited degree, but the primary trend can never be manipulated". ( The ABC of Stock Speculation ).

The primary trend is caused by a variety of economic factors and is not manipulated although there were some manipulations in the tertiary and secondary movements.

There can be corrections. We have to understand that they are mere secondary corrections in a primary bull market. Patience alone can win the game for us ! He who exhibits one man's intelligence and six men's patience alone can win !

Investment From Abroad is Right or Wrong?

One of the outstanding features of globalization in the financial services industry is the increased access provided to non-local investors in several major stock markets of the world. Increasingly, stock markets from emerging markets permit institutional investors to trade in their domestic markets. Indian stock market opened to Foreign Institutional Investors in 14th September 1992, initially with lot of restrictions. The regulation on them are liberalized and minimized now, since 1993 has received a considerable amount of portfolio investment from foreigners in the form if FIIs investment in equities. This has become a turning point of India stock market. The government of India announced the policy of the government to permit the FII investment in India capital market. According to the SEBI modified the regulation on 14-11-1995. In order to make investment in India equity market they wanted to register with Security Exchange Board of India as foreign institutional investors. It is possible for foreigners to trade in India securities without registering as Foreign Institutional investors, but such cases require approval from Reserve Bank of India or the Foreign Institutional Promotion Board. They are generally concentrated in secondary market.

Domestic market alone not able to meet the growing capital requirement of the country and financing from mutilated institution has lost primary in the emerging in the global order .Besides aimed primarily at ensuring non-debt creating capital inflows at a time of extreme balance of payment crisis. It was to tie over the balance of payment crisis in the early 1990s

Portfolio flows often referred to as 'hot- money' are notoriously volatile capital flows. They have also responsible for spreading financial crisis causing contagion in international market. Evan though, the FIIs have been plying a key role in the financial markets since their entry into this country. The explosive portfolio flow by FII brings with them great advantages as they are engine of growth, lowering cost of capital in many emerging market. This opening up of capital markets in emerging market countries has been perceived as beneficial by some researchers while others are concerned about possible adverse consequences.

Clark and Berko (1997) emphasize the beneficial effects of allowing foreigners to trade in stock markets and outline the “base-broadening” hypothesis. The perceived advantages of base-broadening arise from an increase in the investor base and the consequent reduction in risk premium due to risk sharing. Other researchers and policy makers are more concerned about the attendant risks associated with the trading activities of foreign investors. They are particularly concerned about the herding behavior of foreign institutions and the potential destabilization of emerging stock markets.

This study addresses these issues in the context of foreign institutional investors’ (FII) trading activities in a big emerging market – India. India liberalized its financial markets and allowed FIIs to participate in their domestic markets in 1992. Ostensibly, this opening up resulted in a number of positive effects. First, the stock exchanges were forced to improve the quality of their trading and settlement procedures in accordance with the best practices of the world. Second, the information environment in India improved with the advent of major international financial institutional investors in India. On the negative side we need to consider potential destabilization as a result of the trading activity of foreign institutional investors. This is especially important in an emerging country that has embarked upon reforms to open up its market.

OBJECTIVES The objectives of this study were as follows;

(1) To study the role of FII investment in the Indian stock market, ( 2 ) To examine the causal relationship between net FII investment and BSE sensex using granger causality test (3) To examine the causal relationship between net FII investment and NSE sensex using granger causality test (4 )To examine whether FIIs were a channel of global disturbance into the Indian stock market.

TOOLS: Study was carried out with the help of unit root test, co integration test, causal regression and F statistics for FII investment and index from BSE and NSE

LETERATURE REVIEWS

Gayathri Devi .R in 2003, she conducted study on “Causal Relationship between FIIs and Stock Market: A critical study”. It revealed that there was long run relationship between net FII investment and sensex, FII investment did not respond the short-run changes or technical-position of the market and they were more driven by fundamentals, and FII investments did granger cause India stock market. “Selen Serisoy Guerin” in 2006, conducted study on “The Role of Geography in Financial and Economic Integration: A comparative Analysis of foreign direct investment, Trade and Portfolio Investment Flows”.. It found support for the argument that most FDI among Industrial countries were horizontal, whereas most FDI investment in developing countries was vertical and our results indicated that portfolio investment flows compared to FDI, were highly sensitive to change in GDP per capita, this implied that if there was a negative output stock, portfolio investment flows would be more volatile than FDI. A.Julia Priya, D. Lazar and Joseph Jeyapual in 2005, they conducted study on “Role of Foreign Institutional Investors on stock market development in India”, Results revealed that sensex, market capitalization of NSE, Turnover of BSE and NIFTY without market capitalizations were influenced by Foreign Institutional Investors“Suchismita Bose and Dipankor coondoo” in 2004, they conducted study on “The Impact of FII Regulation in India”,. These results strongly suggested The liberalization policies had the desired expansionary effect and had either increased the mean level of FII inflows and/or the sensitivity of these flows to a change in BSE returns and /or the Parthapratim pal in 2004 conducted study entitled as “Recent volatility in stock markets in India and foreign institutional investors. Findings of this study indicated that Foreign institutional investors had emerged as the most dominant investor group in the domestic stock market in India. Particularly, in the companies that constitute the Bombay stock market sensitivity index, their level of control was very highinertia of these flows.

“sandhya Ananthanaryanan, Chandrasekhar krishnamurthi and Nilajan Sen in 2003 conducted study as “Foreign institutional Investors and Security Returns: Evidence from Indian Stock Exchanges”, It found strong evidence consistent with the base-broadening hypothesis.It did not find compelling confirmation regarding momentum or contrarian strategies being employed by FIIs.It supported price pressure hypothesis.

It did not find any substantiation to the claim that foreigner’ destabilize the market. J.S. Pasricha and Umesh.C.Singh in 2001, tried to analyze the impact of FIIs investment on Indian capital market. Their study revealed that FII are here to stay and have become the integral part of Indian capital market. Their entry has led to greater institutionalization of the market. They have brought transparency in the market operations.S.S.S. Kumar in 2001, attempted in his study to find the effect of FIIs on the Indian stock market. The inference analysis of the paper suggests that FII investments are more driven by market fundamentals rather than by short term changers or technical position of the market. As per K. Seethapathi and V. Subbulakshmi study entitled “Foreign investment: Need for focus”, They concluded that, the flows have to pick up. The political will is to be demonstrated by the government. In addition, the regulators have to identify the reasons for failure in converting approvals into actual investments and those issues are to be addressed immediately. E. Han Kim and Vijay Singal in 1997, they conducted study entitled “Are open market Good for Foreign Investors and Emerging Nations?”, Conclusion revealed as. Integrating the emerging stock markets into world markets has had benefits, and will continue to have benefits for both global investor and host countries. The end result of integrated markets a better allocation of resources, improved productivity of capital, and a higher standard of living.

THEORETICAL REVIEW

Between late 1990 and the middle of 1991, the economy faced severe balance of payment difficulties, coming close to defaulting on its external payment obligations in January and June of 1991. In January 1991, the Government negotiated with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for loans. What followed was the implementation of the conventional IMF-World Bank prescription of short-term ‘stabilization’, consisting of devaluation, temporary import compression, fiscal and monetary compression with a rise in interest rates, followed by more long-term ‘structural adjustment’ measures, seeking to restructure the domestic economy.

The New Economic Policy was an outcome of implementation of the ‘structural adjustment’ program. The ‘economic reforms’ or ‘economic liberalization’ program, which began to be implemented with the announcement of the New Economic Policy (NEP), included wide-ranging changes in industrial policy, trade policy and foreign investment policy, a redefinition of the role of the public sector in the economy and redesigning the architecture of the domestic financial system. By narrowing down the topic, first it concentrates on capital account liberalization.

CAPITAL ACCOUNT LIBERALIZATION

The process of capital account liberalization in India needs to be situated in its wider context, for it was shaped by the reality in the national context and the conjuncture in the international context. In response to the external debt crisis, which surfaced in 1991, the government set in motion a process of stabilization, adjustment and reform. Economic liberalization and structural reforms sought to increase the degree of openness of the economy through trade flows, investment flows, technology flows and capital flows. The process began the introduction of convertibility on trade as quantitative restrictions on imports, except for with consumer goods were dismantled and tariff levels were reduced. It was combined with a liberalization of the regimes for foreign investment and foreign technology. And restrictions on international economic transactions, including capital movements, were progressively reduced. This process was also influenced by the gathering momentum of globalization which was associated with increasing economic openness in trade flows, investment flows and financial flows.

The approach to capital account liberalization in India was much more cautious. What was liberalized was specified. Everything else remained restricted or prohibited. The contours of liberalization of the capital account were, in large part, shaped by the salutary lessons of the external debt crisis which surfaced in early 1991 and brought India close to default in meetings its international obligations. The balance of payments situation, then, was almost unmanageable.

The vulnerability was accentuated by two factors: it became exceedingly difficult to roll-over short-term debt in international capital markets and there was capital flight in the form of withdrawals from deposits held by non-resident Indians. This experience dictated the parameters of capital account liberalization8. It prompted strict regulation of external commercial borrowing especially short-term debt. It led to a systematic effort to discourage volatile capital flows associated with repatriable non-resident deposits. Most important, perhaps, it was responsible for the change in emphasis and the shift in preference from debt creating capital flows to non-debt creating capital flows. To some extent, the liberalization that was introduced was also influenced by the perceived needs of the economy: financing the current account deficit, mobilizing resources for investment and attracting international firms. But capital account convertibility remained, fortunately, in the realm of rhetoric. The Mexican crisis in late 1994 was, ironically enough, a blessing in disguise for India. It was not just an early warning signal. It dampened the enthusiasm of those who advocated capital account liberalization with a big bang. It lent support to those who questioned the wisdom of capital account convertibility that would have been premature in every sense. The contours of capital account liberalization in India were determined by these factors.

In sketching these contours, it is necessary to distinguish between different forms of private capital inflows and outflows, as there are important differences between these categories in the nature and the degree of liberalization. A complete description would mean too much of a digression. For our purpose, it would suffice to consider the contours of liberalization in the following categories of capital account transactions:

• Direct investment,

• Portfolio investment, and

• Non-resident deposits.

Foreign Direct Investment

It is defined as a long-term investment by a foreign direct investor in an enterprise resident in an economy other than that in which the foreign direct investor is based. The FDI relationship consists of a parent enterprise and a foreign affiliate which together form a transnational corporation (TNC). In order to qualify as FDI the investment must afford the parent enterprise control over its foreign affiliate.

The liberalization of the policy regime for direct foreign investment began in July 1991 with two major decisions. First, direct foreign investment with up to 51 per cent equity was to receive automatic approval in selected high priority industries subject only to a registration procedure with the Reserve Bank of India. Second, a Foreign Investment Promotion Board was constituted to consider all other proposals for direct foreign investment where approval was not constrained by pre-determined parameters and procedures. In effect, this created a dual route for inflows of direct foreign investment. The approval was automatic, within the specific parameters, from the Reserve Bank of India, while all other inflows were subject to approval through the Foreign Investment Promotion Board. The access through the automatic route has been progressively enlarged over time. Needless to add, outflows associated with direct foreign investment are not subject to any restrictions, but this was so even in the era of capital controls.

Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI)

Portfolio investment represents passive holdings of securities such as foreign stocks, bonds, or other financial assets, none of which entails active management or control of the securities' issuer by the investor; where such control exists, it is known as foreign direct investment.

The liberalization of the policy regime was extended to portfolio investment in September1992. To begin with, foreign institutional investors such as pension funds or mutual funds were allowed to invest in the domestic capital market subject simply to registration with the Securities and Exchange Board of India. Guidelines issued by the Reserve Bank of India permitted such foreign institutional investors to invest in the secondary market for equity subject to a ceiling of 5per cent (subsequently raised to 10 per cent) for individual foreign institutional investors in a single Indian firm with an overall limit at 24 per cent of equity (later relaxed to 30 per cent of equity at the option of the firm) for total foreign institutional investment in a single Indian firm. Foreign portfolio investment further classified into

1. FIIs

2. ADR/GDR, and

3. Offshore funds.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs)

One who propose to invest their proprietary funds or on behalf of "broad based" funds or of foreign corporates and individuals and belong to any of the under given categories can be registered for FII.

• Pension Funds

• Mutual Funds

• Investment Trust

• Insurance or reinsurance companies

• Endowment Funds

• University Funds

• Foundations or Charitable Trusts or Charitable Societies who propose to invest on their own behalf, and

• Asset Management Companies

• Nominee Companies

• Institutional Portfolio Managers

• Trustees

• Power of Attorney Holders

• Bank

Access was provided to foreign institutional investors in the secondary market for debt. Soon thereafter, foreign institutional investors were also allowed investment or placement in the primary market, subject to approval from the Reserve Bank of India, with a maximum limit of 15per cent of the new issue. It was some time before foreign institutional investors were permitted investment in government securities in the primary and secondary markets. This came in 1996-97 and was subject to the ceiling for external commercial borrowing. Subsequently, in 1998-99, foreign institutional investors were also permitted to invest in treasury-bills. There is no reserve requirements stipulated for, or taxes imposed on, these capital inflows. It also needs to be said that foreign institutional investors are allowed to repatriate the principal, the capital gains, the dividends, the interest and any other receipt from the sale of such financial assets, without any restriction, at the market exchange rate. The income tax rate for dividends on such portfolio investment for foreign institutional investors is 20 per cent, which is much lower than the corporate income tax rate for domestic or foreign firms. But foreign institutional investors are subject to a higher short-term capital gains tax at 30 per cent compared with 20 per cent for domestic investors, while the long-term capital gains tax is the same at 10 per cent. Sales of such financial assets for the purpose of repatriation are absolutely unrestricted, provided the sales are through stock exchanges. However, disinvestment through any other route, or in any other form, requires approval from the Reserve Bank of India.

Global Depositary Receipt:

Global Depositary Receipt A negotiable certificate held in the bank of one country representing a specific number of shares of a stock traded on an exchange of another country. American Depositary Receipts make it easier for individuals to invest in foreign companies, due to the widespread availability of price information, lower transaction costs, and timely dividend distributions. Also called European Depositary Receipt.

The option of portfolio investment was also made available to domestic corporate entities from September 1992. Indian firms were allowed access to international capital markets through global depository receipts or Euro convertible bonds which converted debt into equity after stipulated period. This access, however, was not automatic. Individual applications, drawn up inconformity with the general guidelines of the government, were subject to approval. This process remains unchanged.

Offshore Funds:



An offshore fund is a collective investment scheme domiciled in an Offshore Financial Centre, for example British Virgin Islands, Luxembourg, Cayman Islands or Dublin.

Similar facilities for portfolio investment were subsequently extended to Offshore funds, non-resident Indians (as individuals) and overseas corporate bodies, only for investment in shares or debentures through stock exchanges, on the same terms as foreign institutional investors, but subject to a ceiling of 5 per cent for individual non-resident Indians or overseas corporate bodies in a single Indian firm.

Among the various components of portfolio investment, FII comprises the bulk of portfolio inflows. The main objective of foreign institutional investors is to minimize risk and maximize returns by diversifying their portfolios internationally. Major determinants of investment decisions of FII are country and region specific.

Portfolio flows often referred to as 'hot- money' are notoriously volatile capital flows. They have also responsible for spreading financial crisis causing contagion in international market. Evan though, the FIIs have been plying a key role in the financial markets since their entry into this country. The explosive portfolio flow by FII brings with them great advantages as they are engine of growth, lowering cost of capital in many emerging market. This opening up of capital markets in emerging market countries has been perceived as beneficial by some while others are concerned about possible adverse consequences.

Among the most active FIIs are Morgan Stanely Asset Management, jardine Fleming, Capital International, J. Henery schorder, templeton, Warburg Pinkers, Internatioanl Alliance and Quantum fund.

Foreign Institutional Investors in India

India opened her doors to foreign institutional investors in September, 1992. This event represents a landmark event since it resulted in effectively globalizing its financial services industry. Initially, pension funds, mutual finds, investment trusts, Asset Management Companies, nominee companies and incorporated/institutional portfolio managers were permitted to invest directly in the Indian stock markets. Beginning 1996-97, the group was expanded to include registered university funds, endowment, foundations, charitable trusts and charitable. Since then, FII flows which form a part of foreign portfolio investments have been steadily growing in importance in India. Other than in the year 1998, the net flows have been positive. The nuclear tests and East Asian crisis did slow down the flows but as stated by Gordan and Gupta (2003), their effects were short lived. That the percentage of total net turnover of BSE, the share of average of FII sales and purchases increased from 2.6 percent in 1998 to 5.5 percent in 2002. The cumulative net FII investment in India as on August 2003 is approximately $17400 million. As of August 2003 net FII investment was 9 percent of the BSE market capitalization which is small compared to the size of the market. However, in the words of Banaji (2002), it is not the market capitalization that matters but what is important is the level of the free float, that is, the shares that are actually publicly available for trading. With floating stock in the Indian market being less than 25 percent, about 35 percent of the free float available has been bagged by FIIs - despite the fact that they invest in just a few highly liquid stocks.

Though India receives hardly 1 percent of the FII investments in emerging markets, the portfolio flows to India have been less volatile when compared with that of many other emerging markets (Gordan and Gupta, 2003). FIIs by adopting a bottom-up approach seem to invest in top-quality, high growth, large cap stocks (Gordan and Gupta, 2003). Sytse et al. (2003) provide empirical evidence that foreign institutional investors in India, invest in large, liquid companies which enable them to exit their positions quickly at relatively lower cost and also that the foreign institutional owners have a larger impact than foreign corporate owners when performance is measured using stock market valuation criterion.

India is one of the fastest growing economies in South Asia, promising a growth of over 9 percent, second only to China, it would not be a surprise to see increased FII flows to India in the future. FIIs are now looking at the economy as a whole, with the macro-economic factors also playing their role in attracting foreign investors. Factors like a strong currency, key reforms in the banking, power and telecommunications sector, increased consumer spending and stable policies are expected to play a major role in attracting FIIs to India. The Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI) along with the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI) jointly monitor the markets and announces the regulatory measures thus making the Indian companies more transparent and more disciplined.

According to the April 2005 report on corporate governance by CLSA Emerging Markets, India ranks fourth with a score of 55.6 percent. Banaji (2000) emphasizes that the capital market reforms like improved market transparency, automation, dematerialization and regulations on reporting and disclosure standards were initiated because of the presence of the FIIs. But FII flows can be considered both as the cause and the effect of capital market reforms. The market reforms were initiated because of the presence of FIIs and this in turn has lead to increased flows.

The Government of India gave preferential treatment to FIIs till 1999-2000 by subjecting their long term capital gains to lower tax rate of 10 percent while the domestic investors had to pay higher long-term capital gains tax. The Indo-Mauritius Double Taxation Avoidance Convention 2000 (DTAC), exempts Mauritius-based entities from paying capital gains tax in India - including tax on income arising from the sale of shares. This gives an incentive for foreign investors to invest in Indian markets taking the Mauritius route. Consequently, we now see investments coming from Mauritius while there were none before 2000.

The country wise distribution of the FIIs registered in India, with majority of them coming from USA and UK. Chakrabarti (2002) and Rao et al. (1999) point out the fact that due to existing inter-linkages, the source of the FII investment might not be the country from where the institution operates. Nevertheless, the figure gives us an idea of the country wise distribution of the FIIs in India. So as to encourage long term investments in the Indian market, Budget 2003 proposed that investors who buy stocks of listed companies from March 1, 2003 be exempt from paying tax on the gains they make on their investments, provided they hold them for more than one year. With so much to benefit from, the FII investment in India is likely to increase in the future.

Regulation on FII

Investment by FII was jointly regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) through the SEBI (Foreign Institutional Investors) Regulations, 1995 and by the Reserve Bank of India through Regulation 5(2) of the Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA), 1999. The promulgation of legislation pertaining to foreign investment by SEBI in 1995 market a watershed for FII flows to India; this led to a significant increase in the level of FII equity inflows in the pre-Asian crisis period. The SEBI FII Regulations and RBI policies are amended and modified from time to time in response to the gradual maturing of the Indian financial market and changes taking place in the global economic scenario.

In order to trade in India equity market, foreign corporation need to register with SEBI as Foreign Institutional Investors. Without registration they can invest, but cases require the approval from RBI. They are generally concentrated in secondary market. FII are allowed to invest in

a) Securities in primary and secondary market including shares, debentures and warrant of companies, unlisted, listed or to be the listed in India.

b) Units of mutual funds

c) Dated government securities

d) Derivative traded in a recognized stock market and

e) Commercial papers

FII can invest their own funds as well as invest on behalf of their over seas clients registered as such with SEBI. These client accounts that the FII manages are known as 'sub accounts'. FII sub accounts include those foreign corporate, foreign individual, institution funds or portfolio established or incorporated out side India.

FII may issue deal in or hold off share derivative instrument such as participatory notes (PN). The entities that can subscribe to the PN are : a) Any entity incorporated in a jurisdiction that requires filing of constitutional or other documents with a registrar of companies or comparable regulatory agency or body under the applicable companies legislation in that jurisdiction; b) Any entity that is regulated, authorized or supervised by a central bank, such as the Bank of England, or any other similar body provided that the entity must not only be authorized but also be regulated by the aforesaid regulatory bodies; c) Any entity that is regulated, authorized or supervised by a securities or futures commission, such as the Financial Services Authority or other securities or futures authority or commission in any country , state or territory ; d) Any entity that is a member of securities or futures exchanges such as the New York Stock Exchange or other self-regulatory securities or futures authority or commission within any country, state or territory provided that the aforesaid mentioned organizations which are in the nature of self- regulatory organizations are ultimately accountable to the respective securities financial market regulators.

Investment limit

As per the September 1992 policy permitted foreign institutional investment registered FII could individually invest in a maximum of 5% of a company's issued capital and all FIIs together up to a maximum of 24%. From November 1996 are allowed to make 10 percentage investment in debt securities subject to the specific approval from SEBI as a separate category of FIIs or sub accounts as 100% debt fund investment such investment were of occurs subjected to the fund specific ceiling prescribed by SEBI and had to be within overall ceiling US 1.5 $. The investment was however, restricted to the debt instrument of companies listed or to be listed on the stock exchanges. In 1997, the aggregate limit on investment by FIIs was allowed to be raised from 24% to 30% by then board of directors of individual companies by passing a resolution in their meeting and by special resolution to that effect in the company's Board meeting. In June 1998 the 5% individual limit was raised to 10%.In March 2000, the ceiling on aggregate FII portfolio investment increased to 49%.This was subsequently raised to 49%, on March 8 2001, Finance minister announced February 28 2002 that foreign institutional investors can invest in accompany under the portfolio investment rout beyond 24% of the paid up capital of the company with the approval of the general body of the share holders by a special resolution.

Benefits and costs of FII investments

The terms of reference asking the Expert Group to consider how FII inflows can be

encouraged and examine the adequacy of the existing regulatory framework to adequately address the concern for reducing vulnerability to the flow of speculative capital do not include an examination of the desirability of encouraging FII inflows. Yet, for motivating the consideration of the policy options, it is useful to briefly summarize the benefits and costs for India of having FII investment. Given the Group’s mandate of encouraging FII flows, the available arguments that mitigate the costs have also been included under the relevant points.

Benefits

Reduced cost of equity capital

FII inflows augment the sources of funds in the Indian capital markets. In a commonsense way, the impact of FIIs upon the cost of equity capital may be visualized by asking what stock prices would be if there were no FIIs operating in India. FII investment reduces the required rate of return for equity, enhances stock prices, and fosters investment by Indian firms in the country.

Imparting stability to India's Balance of Payments

For promoting growth in a developing country such as India, there is need to augment domestic investment, over and beyond domestic saving, through capital flows. The excess of domestic investment over domestic savings result in a current account deficit and this deficit is financed by capital flows in the balance of payments. Prior to 1991, debt flows and official development assistance dominated these capital flows. This mechanism of funding the current account deficit is widely believed to have played a role in the emergence of balance of payments difficulties in 1981 and 1991. Portfolio flows in the equity markets, and FDI, as opposed to debt-creating flows, are important as safer and more sustainable mechanisms for funding the current account deficit.

Knowledge flows

The activities of international institutional investors help strengthen Indian finance. FIIs advocate modern ideas in market design, promote innovation, development of sophisticated products such as financial derivatives, enhance competition in financial intermediation, and lead to spillovers of human capital by exposing Indian participants to modern financial techniques, and international best practices and systems.

Strengthening corporate governance

Domestic institutional and individual investors, used as they are to the ongoing practices of Indian corporates, often accept such practices, even when these do not measure up to the international benchmarks of best practices. FIIs, with their vast experience with modern corporate governance practices, are less tolerant of malpractice by corporate managers and owners (dominant shareholder). FII participation in domestic capital markets often lead to vigorous advocacy of sound corporate governance practices, improved efficiency and better shareholder value.

Improvements to market efficiency

A significant presence of FIIs in India can improve market efficiency through two channels. First, when adverse macroeconomic news, such as a bad monsoon, unsettles many domestic investors, it may be easier for a globally diversified portfolio manager to be more dispassionate about India's prospects, and engage in stabilsing trades. Second, at the level of individual stocks and industries, FIIs may act as a channel through which knowledge and ideas about valuation of a firm or an industry can more rapidly propagate into India. For example, foreign investors were rapidly able to assess the potential of firms like Infosys, which are primarily export-oriented, applying valuation principles that prevailed outside India for software services companies.

Costs

Herding and positive feedback trading

There are concerns that foreign investors are chronically ill-informed about India, and this lack of sound information may generate herding (a large number of FIIs buying or selling together) and positive feedback trading (buying after positive returns, selling after negative returns). These kinds of behavior can exacerbate volatility, and push prices away from fair values. FIIs’ behavior in India, however, so far does not exhibit these patterns. Generally, contrary to ‘herding’, FIIs are seen to be involved in very large buying and selling at the same time. Gordon and Gupta (2003) find evidence against positive-feedback trading with FIIs buying after negative returns and vice versa.

BoP vulnerability

There are concerns that in an extreme event, there can be a massive flight of foreign capital out of India, triggering difficulties in the balance of payments front. India's experience with FIIs so far, however, suggests that across episodes like the Pokhran blasts, or the 2001stock market scandal, no capital flight has taken place. A billion or more of US dollars of portfolio capital has never left India within the period of one month. When juxtaposed with India's enormous current account and capital account flows, this suggests that there is little evidence of vulnerability so far.

Possibility of taking over companies

While FIIs are normally seen as pure portfolio investors, without interest in control, portfolio investors can occasionally behave like FDI investors, and seek control of companies that they have a substantial shareholding in. Such outcomes, however, may not be inconsistent with India's quest for greater FDI. Furthermore, SEBI's takeover code is in place, and has functioned fairly well, ensuring that all investors benefit equally in the event of a takeover.

Complexities of monetary management

A policymaker trying to design the ideal financial system has three objectives. The policy maker wants continuing national sovereignty in the pursuit of interest rate, inflation and exchange rate objectives; financial markets that are regulated, supervised and cushioned; and the benefits of global capital markets. Unfortunately, these three goals are incompatible. They form the “impossible trinity.” India's openness to portfolio flows and FDI has effectively made the country’s capital account convertible for foreign institutions and investors. The problems of monetary management in general, and maintaining a tight exchange rate regime, reasonable interest rates and moderate inflation at the same time in particular, have come to the fore in recent times. The problem showed up in terms of very large foreign exchange reserve inflows requiring considerable sterilization operations by the RBI to maintain stable macroeconomic conditions. The Government had to introduce a Market Stabilization Scheme (MSS) from April1, 2004.

With the foreign exchange invested in highly liquid and safe foreign assets with low rates of return, and payment of a higher rate of interest on the treasury bills issued under MSS,

sterilization involves a cost. With a rapid rise in foreign exchange reserves and the need for having an MSS-based sterilization involving costs, questions have been raised about the desirability of encouraging more foreign exchange inflows in general and FII inflows in particular. While there is indeed the issue of timing the policy of encouragement appropriately to avoid the pitfalls of throwing the baby with the bath water, there can not be a turnaround from the avowed policy of gradual liberalization, including the cap ital account. All modern market economies have evolved policies to reconcile prudent monetary management with the benefits of a liberal capital account. There is no scope for any diffidence in India also moving in the same direction.

CONCLUSION

The liberalization policies had the desired expansionary effect and had either increased the mean level of FII inflows and/or the sensitivity of these flows to a change in BSE returns and /or the inertia of these flows. On the other hand, the restrictive measures aimed at achieving greater control over FII flows also did not show any significant negative impact on the net inflows, it had found that these policies mostly render FII investment sensitive to the domestic market returns and raise the inertia of the FII flows.

Foreign institutional investors had emerged as the most dominant investor group in the domestic stock market in India. Particularly, in the companies that constitute the Bombay stock market sensitivity index, their level of control was very high. Data on shareholding pattern showed that the FIIs were currently the most dominant non-promoter shareholder in most of the sensex companies and they also controlled more tradable shares of sensex companies than any other investor groups .The sensex, market capitalization of NSE, Turnover of BSE and NIFTY without market capitalizations were influenced by Foreign Institutional Investors. FIIs investment was not across the shares listed in the stock exchange but instead it was very concentrated on the top few company’s shares. Though there was a role by FII on Indian stock market. It was to be taken very cautiously because their influences were on the very few shares in the stock market, which influenced the indicator included in the study but which might not help the Indian economy to grow

The influence of FIIs on the movement of sensex became apparent after general election in India, during this period sensex experienced its worst single-day decline in its history and in the three month period between April to June 2004, it declined by about 17 percent. Moreover, this study also showed that even sharp changes in sensex did not necessarily indicted a significant alteration of actual shareholding pattern of different investor groups even in sensex companies. The activities of foreign institutional investors in emerging economies following the opening-up of the capital account were not simply positive for these countries but could also exert adverse effects. The reasons were derived from asymmetric distributions of information between local and foreign investors and between fund holders and mangers. Foreign institutional investors could be assumed to have relatively little information on specific developments in emerging markets so that ‘diluted information’ and ‘illusive competition’ could result. Their influence on these markets was likely to worsen the relative position of local investors which leads to ‘unbalanced diversification’. Moreover, due to their incentives they were likely to amplify occurring imbalances or even trigger financial shocks leading to what they call ‘obscure risks’ and ‘booming contagion’. The was long run relationship between net FII investment and sensex, FII investment did not respond the short-run changes or technical-position of the market and they were more driven by fundamentals, and FII investments did granger cause India stock market. The FIIs investments are highly concentrate in terms of their market value in very small number of companies. There seemed to be a clear distinction in the FIIs shareholding in nifty and non-nifty companies. There was a wide gap between the actual investments by FIIs and the investments allowed as per the cap.The gap in their investments existed both in nifty and non-nifty companies

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